33 lines
1.5 KiB
Python
33 lines
1.5 KiB
Python
import csv
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import random
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with open('spielplan_vorrunde.csv', newline='') as spielplan, open('team_rating.csv', newline='') as teamRating:
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# readout CSVs
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spieleCSV = csv.DictReader(spielplan)
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ratingsCSV = csv.DictReader(teamRating)
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# create absolute team rating dict
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ratings = dict()
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for row in ratingsCSV:
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ratings[row['team']]=int(row['rating'])
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# offset for relative strength
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offset_rating = 0#min(ratings.values())-1
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# standard deviation
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std_dev = 1.9
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# mean Goals per match
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mean_goals = 2.2
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for row in spieleCSV:
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# get absolute rating
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rating_home = ratings[row['Home Team']]
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rating_away = ratings[row['Away Team']]
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# calculate relative rating
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relative_rating_home = (rating_home - offset_rating)/(rating_away - offset_rating)
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relative_rating_away = 1/relative_rating_home
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# calculate goals, no home advantage, round to positive integer
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## goals_home = max(0, round(random.gauss((mean_goals/2),std_dev/2)*relative_rating_home))
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## goals_away = max(0, round(random.gauss((mean_goals/2),std_dev/2)*relative_rating_away))
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goals_home = max(0, round(random.gauss(mean_goals/2*relative_rating_home,std_dev/2)))
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goals_away = max(0, round(random.gauss(mean_goals/2*relative_rating_away,std_dev/2)))
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print(row['Home Team'], row['Away Team'], str(relative_rating_home)+' : '+str(relative_rating_away), str(goals_home)+' : '+str(goals_away)) |